Seminar 237, Macroeconomics "A Model of the Data Economy" (joint with Laura Veldkamp)

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Submitted by Brandon Eltiste on January 13, 2022
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597 Evans Hall
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Tuesday, March 15, 2022 - 16:10
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Maryam Farboodi

Abstract: Are the economics of the data economy new? There are surely increasing returns: Data helps firms grow; larger firms, generate more data. At the same time, data has diminishing returns: using more data to inform already precise estimates has low value. To explore how increasing and decreasing returns play out, we construct a dynamic, stochastic economy, where data is a long-lived asset. We learn that in the long run, diminishing returns dominate and dynamics are like a classical economy: Comparative advantage dictates who produces what, and, without additional data externalities, allocations are efficient. But in the short run, increasing returns dominate and new forces arise: Data-intensive goods or services are given away for free; many new firms are unprofitable; and some of the biggest firms profit primarily from selling data.