4.5 A Comment on Discriminant Analysis Versus' Logit Analysis This note contrasts discriminant analysis with logit analysis. In causal models, it is seen that forecasting leads to classification problems based on selection probabilities. The posterior distributions implied by the selection probabilities and prior distribution may provide a useful starting point for estimation of the selection probability parameters in a discriminant-type analysis, but this procedure does not tend to be robust with respect to misspecification of the prior. In conjoint models, on the other hand, the posterior distributions and selection probabilities are alternative conditional distributions characterizing the joint distribution. In these models, it is generally not meaningful to examine the effects of shifts in explanatory variables.